Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121512 0.135324 0.149468 0.164995 0.181524 0.198556 0.217395
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102304 0.121328 0.141558 0.164540 0.189794 0.216577 0.247005
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.091028 0.113934 0.139076 0.168441 0.201522 0.237381 0.278937
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080532 0.106068 0.134935 0.169501 0.209300 0.253257 0.305046
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.071082 0.098372 0.130099 0.168978 0.214634 0.265901 0.327180
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.063913 0.092655 0.126947 0.169850 0.221110 0.279499 0.350149
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056908 0.086479 0.122685 0.168906 0.225052 0.289865 0.369179
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052859 0.083665 0.122221 0.172277 0.233905 0.305817 0.394612
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.048062 0.079454 0.119664 0.172778 0.239069 0.317258 0.414663
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043589 0.075302 0.116872 0.172716 0.243333 0.327476 0.433173
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039144 0.070822 0.113350 0.171464 0.245913 0.335514 0.448979
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036092 0.068074 0.111929 0.172750 0.251539 0.347167 0.469085
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034085 0.066793 0.112511 0.176756 0.260798 0.363550 0.495317
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030857 0.063414 0.110005 0.176522 0.264549 0.373106 0.513265
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029301 0.062490 0.110851 0.180726 0.273996 0.389749 0.539944
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026980 0.060157 0.109544 0.181897 0.279436 0.401364 0.560460
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024396 0.057168 0.107111 0.181381 0.282562 0.410008 0.577284
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022420 0.055025 0.105792 0.182309 0.287525 0.420940 0.596948
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020145 0.052151 0.103213 0.181330 0.289848 0.428451 0.612315
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019116 0.051414 0.103835 0.184861 0.298212 0.443701 0.637419
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017496 0.049438 0.102423 0.185387 0.302456 0.453629 0.655832
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015887 0.047320 0.100670 0.185324 0.305834 0.462402 0.672782
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014171 0.044806 0.098144 0.184014 0.307417 0.468790 0.686680